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Rugby Championship 2013: Analysing Permutations of South Africa vs. New Zealand
Published: October 5, 2013
Unlike other tournament finales, this clash isn’t set up quite as easily as saying who wins, wins, but is more an intricate maze of variables and mitigating factors, all of which can be affected with the slightest of steps.
Looking ahead to the encounter, read on for coverage of all the ifs, buts and maybes to ensure you’re not out of the loop come this weekend’s Johannesburg matchup.
South Africa Chances
This Saturday is a nothing-to-lose, everything-to gain affair for the Springbok hosts who currently sit in second place behind the All Blacks, five points from Rugby Championship salvation.
As such, one can expect to see just about every South African penalty kicked to touch, with Jean De Villiers showing against Australia last weekend just how eager he is to take it to the enemy.
With four tries a necessity for Heyneke Meyer’s team, it’s good that South Africa boast the most offensively proficient side in the Championship, although it’s worth noting that the All Blacks have more attacking bonus points.
Due to the strength of the opposition across the park, there isn’t any one area that the Ellis Park hosts can really target as a New Zealand weak point. That being said, Meyer’s forwards were bearing fruit back in Eden Park until Bismarck Du Plessis was wrongfully shown a red card.
Unless those four tries are scored, second place is the best South Africa can hope for. The team already have the advantage of points difference—eight more than New Zealand—heading into this fixture, but even that won’t be sufficient unless they can put their visitors to the sword.
Even with a bonus-...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Rugby Union
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