Projecting Rafael Nadal’s Timeline to Catch Roger Federer’s 17 Grand Slam Titles

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at Internationaled.org

Published: June 9, 2014

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Rafael Nadal’s 2014 French Open title is now etched in the record books. This 14th Grand Slam title ties him with Pete Sampras and closes the gap to the record 17 majors held by Roger Federer. What are the chances that Nadal does indeed catch Federer, and when could this realistically happen?

Typically, Nadal hardly had a chance to relish his latest triumph, let alone ice his knees and get a bite to eat, before he was asked about catching Federer’s 17 majors. The Spanish Warrior responded in ATP World Tour:

Federer has 17 and I have [won] 14 Grand Slams. [Breaking the record], it's not a source of motivation for me. I'll follow my own path. Then when my career is over, we'll count. I don't really care that much about the records. I'll still play with a lot of intensity. I'll still be motivated.

Stars are always aware of their numbers and legacies the way they track each point they play. Though Nadal has long shrugged off serious discussion about chasing Federer’s numbers, he clearly plays with the kind of concentration and appetite for winning that can indeed creep closer to Federer, one major at a time.

Here is what needs to happen for Nadal.

 

Realistic Timeline



The diehard Nadal fan might be euphoric enough to point out that Nadal could mathematically reach 18 Grand Slam titles by winning French Open 2015. That’s an unprecedented order that means he would need to win all of the next three majors (Wimbledon; U.S. Open; Australian Open) during the next year. Since it’s Nadal, we won’t subscribe to this as wholly impossible, but it is highly improbable.

What are the chances that Nadal could take one of the next three “other majors” (which is what we must call them when discussing Nadal’s heroics at Roland Garros)?

Unlike the 90 percent success rate Nadal has piled up at Roland Garros, Na...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis

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