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Rafael Nadal: Can He Recover His Number One Ranking?
Published: July 19, 2011
(i) Can he recover it by year-end?
(ii) Can he recover it sometime in the future?
The answer to (i) is : Most probably No. In fact unless something unexpected happens to Djokovic, it is difficult for the Spaniard to overtake the Serb in ranking points by year-end.
Their year-to-date points are Djokovic: 9695 and Nadal: 7635 i.e. the Spaniard is lagging behind by 2060 points.
Assuming he wins both US Open and WTF (winning all his round robin matches) and Djokovic is a runner-up, he would make up only1300 points. So he will have to split the remaining tournaments with Djokovic and beat him in two Masters.
Is this, based on past records, a likely scenario?
The last part of the year isn't Nadal's best and Djokovic is excellent on hard courts. Besides there are others like Juan Martin Del Potro and Andy Murray, not to forget Roger Federer, who are formidable on hard courts.
So let us consider the second question.
It is very difficult to answer either way. One might say the key to the answer would lie in whether the Spaniard is able to find an answer to the Djokovic riddle. But even this would not give us the answer for the excellent reason that there are other players in the mix who could complicate the Nadal-Djokovic duopoly model.
As mentioned earlier, we have Del Potro and Murray who are potential greats. Del Potro has already won one slam and Murray is yet to win one. But on their day, these two are capable of beating anyone.
It is even possible that one of these two may not only spike Nadal or Djokovic's chances of winning a slam but by suddenly becoming hot as the Serb did this year, either of them could seize the top ranking next year.
Then we have Roger Federer who is past his prime and can no longer be expected to consistently bea...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis
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