When Will Rafael Nadal’s Reign at No. 1 Start and How Long Will It Last?

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at Internationaled.org

Published: September 16, 2013

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Rafael Nadal is ready to take the ATP World No. 1 ranking at the China Open in Beijing on October 7. Currently, Nadal (10,860) trails Novak Djokovic (11,120) by 260 points.

With both players slated to play Beijing, Djokovic can only defend his 500 points by winning the tournament. He can still hold the No. 1 ranking if he drops 200 points as a finalist and Nadal is quickly eliminated. If he does not make the final, he will fall behind Nadal

Nadal can clinch the No. 1 ranking by making it to at least the finals regardless of Djokovic. He would add 300 for this achievement because he did not play in Beijing last year and has no points to defend. If he wins the tournament, he will gain the full 500 points. Barring a major upset, Nadal will be No. 1.

Djokovic’s reign as the No. 1 player will have lasted 101 weeks, including all but 17 weeks since assuming the top position on July 4, 2011, with his Wimbledon title.

Nadal, who currently has 102 career weeks as No. 1, looks to reign at the top for a long time, perhaps a very long time.

 

The Road Ahead

Nadal and Djokovic are scheduled to play Shanghai two weeks after Beijing. Shanghai is a Masters 1000 tournament and another title Djokovic must defend in order to avoid dropping more points. Nadal is likely to keep increasing his gap, all the way to the year-end World Tour Finals in London.

Currently, Nadal (11,015) is almost 3,000 points ahead of Djokovic (8,110) in the race to winning the year-end No. 1 ranking. If both players perform equally into mid-November, Nadal will be able to maintain this huge advantage.



The 2014 Australian Open will be another huge opportunity for Nadal. If Djokovic does not defend his title at Melbourne, he will drop a minimum of 800 points. Meanwhile, Nadal could add 720 points for a semifinal appearance and either 1,200 or 2,000 points if he were to win one or tw...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis

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